Yesterday's Tomorrows

Electronic Commerce


Session 2

Yesterday's Tomorrows


Session Objective: Why is the Future SO Hard to Predict?

The prediction of the future is a most dengerous game. Let's see if we may add some structure to the process.

Vannever Bush


Vannevar Bush, "As We May Think" and Memex


another version of "As We May Think"


Dr. Vannevar Bush was the science adviser of president Roosevelt during World War II and the director of the Office of Scientific Research and Development in the USA. In July 1945 he published an article with the title "As We May Think" in the Atlantic Monthly. In this article he pointed out, that the human mind works associative and that the cells of the brain are linked by trials. In the years after World War II the amount of scientific literature and the difficulties to find specific information in books increased dramatically. As a consequence Dr. Bush took his theories about how human memory works, to describe the concept of a system called Memex. This system would store large amount of information (books, pictures, newspaper, business correspondence, etc.) on Microfilm and would make the search process much easier. In his description Dr. Bush suggested a keyboard and a scanner for information input, compression and mass storage of the collected material, personal links for navigation and displays for information output. This concept was revolutionary in a time where sophisticated data processing systems or even transistors did not exist. Because Dr. Bush's concept included already the most important components of today's hypertext systems, Dr. Bush can be seen as the inventor of the hypermedia technology.

The history of Hypertext

Yesterday's Tomorrows - See Slides Handed out in class

Books on the Future
Howard Rheingold's book - Tools for Thought
The New York World's Fair


Things to do:

As We May Think by Vannevar Bush
This article was originally published in the July 1945 issue of The Atlantic Monthly.
Long Version

Visit Other Links

Looking Backward

Christmas in the Year 2000

DisneyLand's Yesterdays

Might want to look up Jules Verne's Paris in the 20th Century



References:

Please download Acrobat Reader for viewing handouts


Copyright Notice - This material was authored by Benn Konsynski to support the course Patterns of Electronic Commerce. All rights are reserved. © Benn Konsynski, 2001


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